AI and Community


The evidence base for AI’s impact on communities and the for-purpose sector.

Sourced, cited AI community impact evidence Australia-wide, updated as the research grows. Use these figures in your advocacy, board conversations, and funding submissions.

Last updated March 2026. Join the network to receive updates as new evidence is added.

Data and evidence on AI community impact in Australia

Headline Numbers


The scale of what is already underway.

Global and Australian data on AI’s impact on employment and communities. These are not projections about a distant future. They are early readings from a transition already underway.

14%

Decline in entry-level hiring

Drop in job-finding rates for workers aged 22 to 25 in high AI-exposure roles. Already measurable in real hiring data. Not a projection.

Massenkoff and McCrory, Anthropic, March 2026

32%

of Australian jobs could be performed by AI

International Labour Organisation exposure indices mapped to the Australian labour market by Victoria University researchers.

Victoria University / The Conversation, 2025

92M

roles projected to be displaced globally by 2030

World Economic Forum, 2025

41%

of employers plan to reduce workforce where AI can automate

World Economic Forum, 2025

60%

of jobs in advanced economies face meaningful AI exposure

IMF, 2024

70%

of data entry clerk tasks could be performed by AI

ILO via Victoria University, 2025

1 in 6

people worldwide affected by loneliness – 871,000 deaths annually

WHO Commission on Social Connection, 2025

The Economic Picture


The economic gains are real. The question is who captures them.

The case for AI's economic upside is well documented. Productivity gains, GDP growth, and efficiency improvements are projected across every credible forecast. Not For Humans does not dispute this. The harder question is whether those gains reach the communities the for-purpose sector serves - or whether they accrue elsewhere while the costs land on people already managing on the margins.

Source note: the $142B GDP projection below is from an OpenAI-funded industry report. It is included because the figure is widely cited in policy discussion, not as an independent finding.

$142B

Projected annual AI contribution to Australian GDP by 2030

Representing a 4% lift in GDP and projected 7% average wage growth. The report estimates women will experience 35% higher wage growth than men due to their concentration in care and health sectors.

OpenAI / Mandala Partners, Australia's AI Opportunity Report, 2025

$21B

Already being added annually to Australia's economy

Productivity gains from AI adoption are already measurable in the Australian economy. The question is not whether AI creates value - it clearly does. The question is whether that value is distributed in ways that strengthen or hollow out community stability.

OpenAI / Mandala Partners, Australia's AI Opportunity Report, 2025

0.71%

More conservative TFP gain estimate over a decade

KPMG economic modelling using existing exposure data. Early productivity benefits are skewed towards easily automated tasks with limited scope for expansion into high-complexity domains. Range across credible forecasts is wide.

KPMG Australia, AI Regulation and Productivity, 2025

Health economics: the costs that do not appear in GDP

$1T annual global productivity loss from mental disorders

Economic disruption from AI displacement will compound an existing mental health burden that already costs the global economy $1 trillion annually. Community mental health services are on the front line of absorbing this cost.

Artificial Intelligence Review, Springer, 2026

8% potential labour productivity lift in healthcare and social assistance

In sectors with more than half of all roles facing staffing shortages. AI could free skilled workers from administrative burden to focus on direct care. This is a genuine upside for community organisations - if it is managed well and the governance is in place.

OpenAI / Mandala Partners, Australia's AI Opportunity Report, 2025

$103B AI in healthcare by 2028

Up from $15B in 2023. AI is rapidly reshaping clinical diagnosis, disease surveillance and health systems. Without deliberate governance, rapid integration risks exacerbating health inequities. The communities most in need are least likely to benefit from AI-driven health improvements without targeted policy.

Frontiers in Public Health, 2023

The Not For Humans lens

Productivity gains that flow to capital rather than labour, or to metropolitan Australia rather than regional and remote communities, do not help the people the for-purpose sector exists to serve.

The economic case for AI is real and Not For Humans acknowledges it. But projected national gains and distributed community gains are very different things. The sector's role is to make that distinction visible in policy, in funding conversations, and in how organisations govern the AI tools already in their hands.

80%

of Australian income growth over the past three decades has come from productivity

Yet Australian labour productivity has declined since its peak in late 2022, returning to 2019 levels. AI represents a potential reset - but only if the productivity gains are distributed broadly enough to lift living standards rather than concentrate them.

Productivity Commission via OpenAI / KPMG, 2025

The Workforce Picture


Who is most exposed in Australia.

The workers most exposed are not unskilled. They are educated, experienced, and concentrated in occupations that define the for-purpose sector workforce.

Women most exposed group in Australia

Jobs and Skills Australia found roles typically dominated by women are among the most exposed to AI-driven automation. Administrative and clerical roles face the highest risk.

Jobs and Skills Australia, Gen AI Capacity Study, 2025

6% of Australian organisations mandate enterprise-wide AI training

Workers in vulnerable groups are being left without the skills to adapt while AI adoption accelerates. The capability gap is widening fastest where it matters most.

ADAPT Research, 2025

$28M average annual AI investment by Australian enterprises

AI adoption in Australian workplaces is not theoretical. It is already business as usual, accelerating the pace of change ahead of any workforce support infrastructure.

ADAPT Research, 2025

No occupation

is completely immune from AI impact

Dr Janine Dixon, who modelled AI's labour market impact for Jobs and Skills Australia, found no occupation escaped impact entirely. The question is not whether but how.

Jobs and Skills Australia, Gen AI Capacity Study, 2025

Australian workforce facing AI displacement and transition challenges

Why this matters for the sector

The for-purpose sector workforce is predominantly female, educated, and employed in administrative and coordination roles. These are precisely the roles that Australian and global research identifies as most exposed to AI-driven displacement. The sector's workforce and the communities it serves face compounding pressure from the same transition.

Community Sentiment


What Australians think about AI.

The communities that not-for-profits serve are not passive about AI. Scepticism is rising, particularly among the groups most likely to bear its costs.

65% of Australians believe AI creates more problems than it solves

Up 8 percentage points since 2023. Women are more sceptical than men, with 69% of women compared to 61% of men holding this view. Regional Australians are also more sceptical than urban residents.

Roy Morgan Snap SMS Survey, October 2025. Base: Australians 18+, n=3,543

1 in 4 Australians

believe AI presents a risk of human extinction in the next two decades

Up from 20% in 2023. Concern is highest among 25-34 year-olds (32%) and those aged 35-49 (26%). This level of community anxiety has direct implications for how organisations communicate about AI.

Roy Morgan Snap SMS Survey, October 2025. Base: Australians 18+, n=3,543

20% cite loss of critical thinking as AI's top risk

The most commonly cited concern among Australians who say AI creates more problems. Accuracy and hallucinations (19%), environmental harm (18%), and misinformation (17%) follow closely. Job loss and economic displacement ranks fifth at 14%.

Roy Morgan Snap SMS Survey, October 2025

Community attitudes to AI in Australia - evidence and data

"Scepticism is rising fastest among women, older Australians, and those in regional areas - the same groups that community organisations most commonly serve."

Not For Humans analysis of Roy Morgan data, 2025

69%

of women believe AI creates more problems than it solves

Compared to 61% of men. Women are also the workforce group most exposed to AI displacement. The same population bears the highest economic and social risk.

Roy Morgan, October 2025

The For-Purpose Sector


Adoption is accelerating. Governance is not keeping up.

Australian not-for-profits are using AI at an accelerating rate. The evidence shows a widening gap between adoption and governance, with most organisations lacking the frameworks to manage the risks AI introduces.

76%

of Australian NFPs now use AI tools

A 52% increase in one year

14%

have an internal AI policy or governance framework

Of those 76% using AI tools

44%

rank data and evidence-based decisions as their highest need

Up from 17% in 2023

Infoxchange Digital Technology in the Not-for-Profit Sector Report, 2025

20,000+ not-for-profits supported on their AI journey

Through the Infoxchange Digital Transformation Hub, supported by the National AI Centre and the Australian Government. Sector demand for AI support is significant and growing.

Infoxchange / National AI Centre, Australian National AI Plan, 2025

10% of nonprofits globally have AI governance policies

Despite 82% now using AI tools. The governance gap is not unique to Australia. It is a sector-wide challenge with direct community consequences as AI enters service delivery.

Sigma Forces / Social Impact Research, 2025

"AI tools are being adopted at twice the rate of last year, but only 14% of NFPs have an internal AI policy or governance framework. The gap between adoption and governance is widening."

Infoxchange

Digital Technology in the Not-for-Profit Sector Report, 2025

Read the full report →

What this means for communities

Digital Exclusion


AI amplifies the divide that already exists.

The communities most likely to be served by community organisations are the same communities least equipped to navigate an AI-accelerated world.

1 in 5 Australians

are digitally excluded or highly excluded

20.6% of Australians face significant barriers to digital access, affordability, or capability. As services become AI-mediated, digital exclusion becomes exclusion from essential services.

Australian Digital Inclusion Index, 2025

40.9% of First Nations Australians are digitally excluded

First Nations Australians are twice as likely as other Australians to be digitally excluded. The national gap of 10.5 points widens to 22.8 points in very remote areas. These are the communities most likely to be shaped by AI systems trained on data that does not represent them.

Australian Digital Inclusion Index and RMIT / Swinburne Mapping the Digital Gap, 2025

29% vs 40%

Regional organisations adopting AI versus metropolitan organisations

The communities with the highest rates of digital exclusion are served by the organisations with the least AI capability. The AI divide is reproducing the digital divide.

Australian National AI Plan, 2025

84% of Australians want more control over their personal data

Less than 1 in 3 currently feel in control of their data privacy, despite data being central to how AI systems make decisions about people's access to services, credit, and opportunity.

Australian Human Rights Commission, 2025

Digital exclusion and AI community impact in Australia
66.5%

of Australians aged 75+ are digitally excluded

45.2%

of public housing residents are digitally excluded

63%

of low-income households are digitally excluded

54.5%

of those without secondary education are digitally excluded

Australian Digital Inclusion Index, 2025

Not For Humans logo

Not For Humans

The for-purpose sector needs to be at the front of this conversation.

The communities that community organisations serve are among the most exposed to AI's risks and the least equipped to navigate them. That makes the for-purpose sector the most important early warning system the AI transition has.

Join the Not For Humans network to receive updates as new evidence is added to this page, and to connect with practitioners building the sector's collective response.

Not For Humans: Because AI's greatest risk isn't technical, it's Human.